2022 NFL Season Betting Picks & Analysis: Losers for Week 4

One thing we learned from Week 3 of the 2022 NFL regular season is that Romeo Doubs is ready to play in the pros as a tight end. Against Tampa Bay, he had eight catches for 73 yards, including a five-yard score that gave Green Bay a lead early in the first quarter. He leads the team in receiving, and the Packers only managed two touchdowns on the day against the Buccaneers. Overall, it was a slow day for the Packer offense, as Aaron Rodgers only averaged 4.7 air yards per attempt, his second-lowest average since 2016. For the season, he is only averaging 228 passing yards per game, the lowest in his career. As we move toward Week 4, check out some predictions that we feel will improve your NFL betting performance.

NFL News: Sure Losers for Week 4

 

Sunday, October 2


Cleveland Browns (-2.5) at Atlanta Falcons
(1:00 pm ET, CBS)

If the Browns had not given up a 13-point lead in historic fashion against the Jets in Week 2, they would be rolling at 3-0. They head to Atlanta with plenty of rest, and they might look back and find some Dawg Pound members in attendance. Nick Chubb looks to make the Atlanta defense his latest set of victims. The Falcons are getting more out of quarterback Marcus Mariota than they had expected, but the team does not have the physicality to stand up to Cleveland in the trenches on either side of the ball, and they don’t have the tailback talent to run the ball equally well. Browns to win and cover.

Washington Commanders (+3) at Dallas Cowboys
(1:00 pm ET, FOX)

Washington’s defense has been uncharacteristically awful this year, as they have not been able to stop opposing teams, whether it is the passing game or the rushing game. The Cowboys have eked out wins over Cincinnati and the Giants despite not having Dak Prescott under center. The team’s offensive approach has been both creative and careful, with Cooper Rush finding a lot of checkdown options but also mixing in throws down the field when possible. Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott have done a serviceable job carrying the ball, but the heroes have been on defense. I expect the same crew that was getting after Daniel Jones to pursue Carson Wentz all afternoon, and I also expect Wentz to have just as much trouble against the pass rush this time around. Cowboys to win and cover.

Chicago Bears (+3.5) at N.Y. Giants
(1:00 pm ET, FOX)

Justin Fields and Daniel Jones will both lead conservative, run-heavy offenses in this game, as both head coaches try to ride their defenses and tailbacks to victory. Saquon Barkley’s presence gives the G-men a slight edge in this game, even if Justin Fields looks more like an NFL-caliber quarterback at this point, in terms of presence and ball security.

New England Patriots (+10.5) at Green Bay Packers
(4:25 pm ET, CBS)

It looks like the underrated Green Bay defense is back after that Week 1 nonsense in Minnesota. The Packers have shut down the Bears and Buccaneers in succession, and against the Buccaneers, the Pack only permitted a dozen points, including a stop on a two-point conversion that would have sent the game to overtime. With the Patriots coming to town, things promise to be much more manageable for Green Bay. It doesn’t look like the Patriots will have Mac Jones (high ankle sprain), which means that Brian Hoyer will most likely get the start at quarterback. Hoyer has worked well as a journeyman in the past, but it has been several seasons since he played at an effective level as a starter. This is an immense spread for a pro game, but with a backup quarterback going for the Pats, this makes a lot of sense. Packers to win and cover.


 

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