NFL Week 13 Over/Under Picks for Big Games Heading into the Playoffs

If you favor underdogs with your sports betting, then Week 12 of the NFL regular season was likely kind to you, as Las Vegas, Carolina, Jacksonville and Cleveland won straight up. Las Vegas and Jacksonville yielded the most value, with both wins paying +155 moneylines. In fact, Las Vegas has won two in a row as the road underdog, so can they keep that same energy playing at home this week? Overall, six underdogs beat the spread; we will see what happens this week. Buffalo faces New England on the road on Thursday night; despite their 8-3 record, the Bills are winless in the division. The weekend’s action finishes on Monday, with New Orleans heading to Tampa Bay in an NFC South clash made interesting by the division’s collective mediocrity. Check out our NFL betting picks for each game on the calendar.

 

NFL News: Week 13 O/U Picks

 

→ Thursday, December 1

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Buffalo Bills (-5.5) at New England Patriots (O/U 43.5)
(8:15 pm ET, Prime Video)

The New England defense excels at taking away the top weapon of the opposition, and Josh Allen’s throwing elbow is not at 100%. The Bills have an outstanding defense – until the fourth quarter, that is, but do the Patriots have the weapons to take advantage? Take the under.

 

→ Sunday, December 4

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Pittsburgh Steelers (+1) at Atlanta Falcons (O/U 42)
(1:00 pm ET)

Kenny Pickett led the Steelers to 24 points against Indianapolis last week, and the Falcons’ defense tends to accentuate the grinding pace that the Atlanta offense follows. Pickett should be able to find open receivers down the field, but can the Falcons score more than, say, 16 points here? Take the under.

 

Green Bay Packers (-2.5) at Chicago Bears (42.5)
(1:00 pm ET)

I think that either Jordan Love or Aaron Rodgers will be able to guide the Packers to plenty of points against Chicago’s generous defense. The Packer defense should be able to shut down Trevor Siemian, and if Justin Fields returns, he is likely to be less aggressive in the running game to protect his separated left shoulder. The Packers might be able to beat this total by themselves, though. Take the over.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars (+1) at Detroit Lions (51.5)
(1:00 pm ET)

Neither one of these teams plays a lot of defense, and the Detroit Lions have been breaking the 30-point barrier regularly. Take the over.

 

N.Y. Jets (+3) at Minnesota Vikings (45.5)
(1:00 pm ET)

If you think that Mike White is about to come back down to earth after his huge day against Chicago, you might be right. Also, the Jets’ defense has been sneaky-good without marquee stars all season long. Take the under.

 

Washington Commanders (-1) at N.Y. Giants (40.5)
(1:00 pm ET)

Expect a lot of slow, grinding drives as both teams try to leverage the running game and get just enough out of the passing game to convert third downs. Neither quarterback puts up explosive numbers, and both defenses can be smothering. Take the under.

 

Tennessee Titans (+6.5) at Philadelphia Eagles (44.5)
(1:00 pm ET)

Tennessee and Philadelphia both keep winning, but the Eagles appear to have a more dynamic offense. They ran the ball for over 300 yards in their win over the Packers, but expect the Titans to have just as dynamic a running game. I like Jalen Hurts to pull off more big plays down the field than Ryan Tannehill, and I see this dynamic working out a lot like the Packers-Eagles game on Sunday. Take the over.

 

Denver Broncos (+7) at Baltimore Ravens (38.5)
(1:00 pm ET)

Both teams have smothering defenses, and both teams are really struggling to move the ball right now. Take the under.

 

Cleveland Browns (-6) at Houston Texans (46.5)
(1:00 pm ET)

Cleveland should be able to run all day on the Texans, but the Browns’ defense should be able to keep the Texans from doing a lot of damage. Of course, we’ve been reading about what the Browns’ defense should be able to do for several seasons now, so you have to wonder if the team needs a new coordinator, but this is Houston. Take the under.

 

Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) at L.A. Rams (40.5)
(4:05 pm ET)

The Rams will either have John Wolford or Bryce Perkins at quarterback, so they shouldn’t be able to do much damage on offense. The Seahawks have a dynamic offense, but can they score touchdowns against a stifling Rams red zone defense? Take the under.

 

Miami Dolphins (+4.5) at San Francisco 49ers (46.5)
(4:05 pm ET)

Miami can score with anyone right now, and while the 49ers do have a smothering defense, I think a mobile Tua Tagovailoa and the duo of Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill can do some damage. Also, Christian McCaffrey has jump-started the San Francisco offense. Take the over.

 

Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) at Cincinnati Bengals (52.5)
(4:25 pm ET)

Get ready for another track meet. Can the Bengals’ defense stand tall in the fourth quarter against the Chiefs, like they did in Week 17 and in the AFC Championship? Either way, expect lots of scoring. Take the over.

 

L.A. Chargers (-3) at Las Vegas Raiders (50.5)
(4:25 pm ET)

We have two defenses that struggle to stop the opposition and two offenses that can score at a Cyberball pace. Take the over.

 

Indianapolis Colts (+9) at Dallas Cowboys (43.5)
(8:20 pm ET)

Pittsburgh put up 24 points on the Colts on the road, and they have a rookie quarterback. If Dak and the Cowboys’ offense can’t get to 34, don’t expect a lot of quality in the playoffs. Take the over.

 

→ Monday, December 5

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New Orleans Saints (+6.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (40.5)
(8:15 pm ET, ESPN)

Tom Brady’s not finding the offense nearly as easy in Tampa Bay this year, and the Saints get the defense out for the Bucs. The Saints are rolling with Andy Dalton, which explains why they got blanked in San Francisco last week. Take the under.

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