- The Chiefs are 13-point home favorites over the Steelers in an AFC wild card playoff game Sunday January 16th
- Two-thirds of the betting handle is on the Chiefs to cover
- All the public betting trends for Steelers-Chiefs can be found below
The Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Kansas City Chiefs for the second time in less than a month, this time for an AFC wild card playoff game at 8:15 p.m. ET Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium.
Steelers vs Chiefs is a rematch of Dec. 26 when the Chiefs throttled the Steelers 36-10 in Week 16. The oddsmakers expect more of the same in the rematch as Steelers vs Chiefs odds see Kansas City listed as a 13-point favorite.
Steelers vs Chiefs Betting Trends
Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh Steelers | +13 | 34% | 45% | Over 46.5 | 56% | 66% | +500 | 27% | 22% |
Kansas City Chiefs | -13 | 66% | 55% | Under 46.5 | 44% | 34% | -720 | 73% | 78% |
All betting trends as of Sunday, January 16
The Chiefs are drawing 66% of the ATS betting handle and 55% of the handle against the spread in NFL Betting Trends. More than two-thirds of the moneyline betting is on Kansas City at -720.
The Steelers (9-7-1) won their final two regular season games to get into the playoffs. The Chiefs (12-5) captured their sixth straight AFC West title with nine wins in their last 10 games.
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Sharps Like Chiefs as Big Favorites
The Chiefs opened as 13-point favorites. The line dipped to 12.5 during the week but has gone back up to 13 on gameday.
The Chiefs beating the Steelers by 26 points in the regular season – they led 23-0 at halftime – obviously figures into the large spread. So does the disparity in the teams’ records.
The Steelers have taken notice of the point spread.
"We don’t have a chance, so let’s just go in and have fun."
—Ben Roethlisberger on the Steelers' playoff game vs. the Chiefs
(via @steelers) pic.twitter.com/ajZJkG0PSk
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) January 12, 2022
Furthermore, the Chiefs’ +500 odds to win the Super Bowl are second only to the Green Bay Packers’ +370. The Steelers are the longest shot on the board at +9000.
Though the line is very high for a playoff game, that has not deterred the sharps from hitting the Chiefs as the disparity between the betting handle (66%) and total bets (55%) shows.
Sharps Also Hitting the Under
Sharp money isn’t just going on the Chiefs. The pros also appear to be betting the under as the total is 46.5 after opening at 47.
The Chiefs’ defense has gotten markedly better since giving up at least 29 points in each of the first five games this season. Kansas City allowed nine points or less in a span of four of five games in November and December, though the Chiefs allowed 58 points combined in their last two games.
Game-changing play 😱
The Chiefs defense was +310 to score a TD at anytime.
— BetMGM 🦁 (@BetMGM) January 9, 2022
The Steelers have scored as many as 30 points once all year and have been held under 20 in three of their last four games. On the other side of the ball, though, Pittsburgh has surrendered 14 points or fewer in three of the last four games.
Even though the Chiefs routed the Steelers last month, the total number of points scored was just 46.
The weather should also not be a factor Sunday night or affect Steelers vs Chiefs props. Though the forecasted low is 26 degrees, no precipitation is expected.
Chiefs Get Heavy Play on Moneyline
The 13-point spread certainly suggests the Chiefs should win this game easily. The -720 moneyline gives Kansas City an implied probability of 87.80% to emerge victorious and advance to the divisional round next weekend to face the Buffalo Bills in a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game.
PLAYOFFS START NOW 😤 pic.twitter.com/kQPxEyt3iJ
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) January 16, 2022
The moneyline opened with the Chiefs as -670 favorites and the Steelers are +490. Pittsburgh’s odds are now +500.
The public certainly believes the Chiefs are going to win. A whopping 78% of the ML bets have gone on Kansas City along with 73% of the handle.
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The post Steelers vs Chiefs Public Betting Trends – 66% of Money Bet Against the Spread is on Kansas City appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
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