Top 25 College Football Analysis and Betting Opportunities in Week 13

The third week of College Football Playoff rankings came out Tuesday night, and the top seven teams remained unchanged, as they all won. The largest upset in Week 11 came in the Big 12, where Baylor beat previously unbeaten Oklahoma. Cincinnati remains at #5 despite that 10-0 record, with two wins over Power Five opponents. The fact that Houston, another AAC team, has moved into the CFP top 25 suggests that the committee might consider moving Cincinnati higher if they can win the AAC, which at this point would include a victory over Houston in the conference title game.

Let’s break down the latest rankings and talk about some college football betting opportunities that you can leverage.

NCAA News: Top 25 Analysis and Betting Opportunities

#7 Michigan State (+19) at #4 Ohio State (O/U 68.5)
Michigan State +700 / Ohio State -1100

Purdue and Ohio State put 90 points on the board last week — and Purdue’s defense is pretty stout. No FBS team has a worse pass defense than Michigan State does, which should make for plenty of opportunities for Ohio State’s C.J. Stroud and his collection of talent at wide receiver. The Spartans also have a productive offense, and they could break 30. I’m not sure that Ohio State can cover this spread — and the Spartans could pull off another big win like they did over Michigan.

Take the over : Bet the Game Today

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Illinois (+12.5) at #17 Iowa (O/U 38.5)
Illinois +360 / Iowa -475

This point total looks like what you might see in the last week of the NFL preseason, when it’s reserves taking on reserves. In this case, two of the nation’s least productive offenses will square off. Iowa wil have backup quarterback Alex Padilla leading the offense; earlier in the season, Iowa was using turnovers to get short fields, but that has petered out. Illinois will not have head coach Bret Bielema after he tested positive for COVID-19.

Take the under this week : Bet the Game Today

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North Texas (-10) at Florida International University (O/U 57.5)
FIU +300 / North Texas -380

FIU’s football program was already foundering, but then it entered full dumpster fire when head coach Butch Davis went public with all kinds of scorn about the school’s administration. FIU has lost all of their games by double digits since the calendar turned to October.

North Texas to win and cover : Bet the Game Today

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Auburn (-7.5) at South Carolina (O/U 44.5)
South Carolina +240 / Auburn -300

Auburn won’t have quarterback Bo Nix (ankle). They won’t have kicker Anders Carlson (ACL). They’re going on the road to face a Gamecocks team that absolutely undressed Florida in their last home game. This line really smells like an imbalance.

South Carolina to cover : Bet the Game Today

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Georgia Tech (+17) at #8 Notre Dame

The triple option heads to South Bend, but this isn’t the same Georgia Tech that has befuddled opponents in years past. The Fighting Irish would like to take advantage of potential chaos happening above them in the CFP standings this week; with Ohio State facing Michigan State, there is the chance for the Irish to move up at least one slot with a convincing win. If Cincinnati struggles with SMU, then a big Notre Dame win could move them up two slots. I like Notre Dame to make a big statement at home.

Notre Dame to win and cover : Bet the Game Today

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