losses

Crypto Chaos

Despite the second-largest bank failure in US history, the Federal Reserve continued its interest rate hike strategy last week. This caused markets to react by pricing in continued monetary tightening, pushing back their expectations of rate decreases to 2024. Some have perceived this move as necessary to combat inflation, even if it comes at the cost of breaking the banking sector. Unfortunately, this sober outlook suggests that the rest of the year may be marked by more sideways action in the markets rather than a steady recovery. Meanwhile, in the

Paribus. Trust Less.

One month ago, Jerome Powell, head of the Federal Reserve in the US, announced that the banking system was sound and robust despite the collapse of several large banks. After raising rates a further 0.25%, he said, “We’re committed to learning the lessons from this episode and to work to prevent events like this from happening again.” As we prepare for another potential 0.25% rate hike on May 3rd, another major bank in the US, First Republic Bank, has collapsed. Its collapse is part of a larger trend of consolidation

Paribus. The Fragility of Finance.

Despite a lot of turbulence in the markets this week the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) did exactly what was predicted. Jerome Powell carefully adjusted his language and reframed the narrative around his 25 basis point rate hike to try and calm the markets he had helped to damage. His forward guidance was only to expect further rate increases if inflation spirals out of control. He avoided taking any responsibility for the recent bank failures, claiming instead that the sector was stable and robust. In reality, the global financial system