{"id":1552812,"date":"2022-01-06T06:03:55","date_gmt":"2022-01-06T11:03:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/smartsportstrader.com\/?p=4224"},"modified":"2022-01-06T06:03:55","modified_gmt":"2022-01-06T11:03:55","slug":"4-football-trading-strategies-2022-profitable-on-betfair","status":"publish","type":"station","link":"https:\/\/platogaming.com\/plato-data\/4-football-trading-strategies-2022-profitable-on-betfair\/","title":{"rendered":"4 Football Trading Strategies 2022 \u2013 Profitable On Betfair"},"content":{"rendered":"
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4 Football Trading Strategies<\/h1>\n

Football betting is a huge global market. It attracts billions of pounds in turnover and is often one the first sports that new bettors try to make money from.<\/span><\/p>\n

People are always looking for football trading strategies that actually work.<\/span><\/p>\n

In this article we are going to look at using strategies on Betfair and other betting exchanges. Which allow\u00a0 you to approach football betting in a way that is not available with normal bookmakers.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Which betting strategies actually work?<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

What are the best football betting strategies?<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Caan Berry<\/a><\/span> recently put out a video related to three football trading strategies you can use for the live betting markets. I thought it would be interesting to cover these strategies and look at the merits, potential dangers and situations where you could use these strategies effectively.<\/span><\/p>\n

You can view the video below.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"YouTube<\/a><\/p>\n

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Football Trading Strategy 1 – Market Overreactions<\/span><\/h2>\n

The first strategy that Caan mentions in the video is taking advantage of overreactions in the market. Specifically mentioning the market reaction after a goal is scored.<\/span><\/p>\n

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When a goal is scored this is often a point where traders will look to exit their position.<\/em> <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

For example if someone has layed the over 2.5 goals market at the start of the game. Their trading plan might be to hedge the trade for a profit after 20 mins if there is no goal. If a goal is scored then they will exit the strategy for a loss. <\/span><\/p>\n

In this scenario if an early goal is scored. That trader is often going to exit that trade without considering the value of the odds that they are are backing.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

This takes advantage of panic in the market.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Football<\/a><\/p>\n

So in this example the trade would be to lay the over 2.5 goals market straight after a goal is scored. Then exit a few minutes later as the market corrects and the odds drift.<\/span><\/p>\n

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A strategy I have seen used with this type of trade was to hold the trade for 15 minutes before hedging for profit.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Obviously the danger with this type of trade is that you open yourself up another goal being scored before you exit the trade.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

So although this is a strategy that will generate a lot of small wins, when you do lose it is going to be for more.<\/span><\/p>\n

If you are using this strategy you have to acknowledge the risk vs reward and as always make sure you have a solid staking plan.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

It is not a strategy to use for every game. <\/span><\/p>\n

You should always do your research and record when you see the optimal conditions for type of trade. This will allow you to anticipate in the future the best situations for this trading strategy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Match Odds Market Strategy<\/span><\/h3>\n

Caan suggests in the video using this strategy in the match odds market. <\/span><\/p>\n

In the match odds market you have the added upside of the opposing team scoring a goal whilst you are waiting for the market to correct itself.<\/span><\/p>\n

It would make sense to use this football trading strategy when there is a heavy favourite that has taken the lead. Market’s like this tend to have more recreational money in the market.<\/span><\/p>\n

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When you have more recreational money in the market, you have a lot more traders that are not going to be assessing the value of the odds available. They will exit positions regardless of the odds being value or not.<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

The potential downside of the trade is again the danger of a goal against you whilst you try to scalp a few ticks. <\/span><\/p>\n

However if you can find opportunities laying at shorter odds. Then the potential profit of a goal coming in your favour will yield a greater profit then a loss.<\/span><\/p>\n

Football Trading Strategy 2 – <\/span>Scalping Time Decay<\/span><\/h2>\n

The second strategy that is discussed in the video above is taking advantage of time decay.<\/span><\/p>\n

As time moves forward in a football game, markets have to adjust to the changing probabilities of the games outcomes.<\/span><\/p>\n

So for example if Man Utd are leading 1-0 against Brighton and are priced 1.17 on the 60th minute mark. If no other goal is scored then this price will gradually move to 1.01 before the end of the game.<\/span><\/p>\n

The same has to happen for every other market in the match.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Football<\/a><\/p>\n

Here are a few pointers to use this strategy successfully.<\/span><\/p>\n