Ajax vs Liverpool Match Analysis and Prediction

Ajax play host to Liverpool for a Champions League group-stage match at Johan Cruijff Arena on Wednesday with the visitors looking to book a spot in the knockout stage.

One point would prove enough to see the visitors progress to the last 16 with one game to spare. although the Reds may require a victory if they are to stand a chance of overthrowing Napoli at the top of Group A.

After claiming a 4-0 victory over Rangers in their opening match of the group, Ajax appeared to have a decent chance of reaching the knockout rounds this season.

However, three consecutive defeats have left them six points adrift of Liverpool with two games remaining, meaning that they must defeat the Reds and hope that Napoli do the same on the final matchday if they are to progress to the next stage.

Ajax are at least back on track domestically after dropping five points in two games either side of the international break, having scored 15 goals in their last three matches to open up a four-point gap over PSV Eindhoven at the top of the table.

Liverpool looked to have turned a corner having defeated Manchester City and West Ham United both 1-0 in the past week, but they suffered defeat by the same scoreline to a rejuvenated Nottingham Forest side at the City Ground on Saturday.

Perhaps more worrying for Klopp is his side’s continual allowance of high quality chances for their opponents. Hopes of cutting the significant points gap down to Machester City and Arsenal at the top of the table are now surely gone, placing even more emphasis on their progression in Europe.

As such,  Liverpool will not want to face Napoli on the final matchday with their progression to the knockout rounds still riding on that game.

Ajax vs Liverpool head to head

These two teams have previously met on just three occasions in the Champions League, where Liverpool have won all the matches, scoring four goals and conceding one.

Ajax 0-1 Liverpool 21/10/20

Liverpool 1-0 Ajax 01/10/20

Liverpool 2-1 Ajax 13/09/22

Ajax latest home form

Ajax have recently been on a relatively good run of form at home, having lost just one of their seven most recent matches. They managed to defeat Excelsior 7-1 in their last home game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored 18 goals and conceded eight.

Ajax 4-0 Rangers 07/09/22

Ajax 5-0 Heerenveen 10/09/22

Ajax 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles 01/10/22

Ajax 1-6 Napoli 04/10/22

Ajax 7-1 Excelsior 16/10/22

Ajax latest away form

Ajax have recently failed to keep a good run of form on the road, having won just two of their five most recent matches. They defeated RKC Waalwijk 4-1 in their last away game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored 12 goals and conceded 11.

Liverpool 2-1 Ajax 13/09/22

AZ 2-1 Ajax 18/09/22

Volendam 2-4 Ajax 08/10/22

Napoli 4-2 Ajax 12/10/22

RKC Waalwijk 1-4 Ajax 22/10/22

Liverpool latest home form

Liverpool have recently been on a good run of form at home, having been unbeaten in their eight most recent matches. They managed to defeat West Ham United 1-0 in their last home game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored nine goals and conceded four.

Liverpool 2-1 Ajax 13/09/22

Liverpool 3-3 Brighton & Hove Albion 01/10/22

Liverpool 2-0 Rangers 04/10/22

Liverpool 1-0 Manchester City 16/10/22

Liverpool 1-0 West Ham United 19/10/22

Liverpool latest away form

Liverpool have recently failed to keep a good run of form on the road, having won just one of their eight most recent matches. They lost 1-0 to Nottingham Forest in their last away game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored 10 goals and conceded nine.

Everton 0-0 Liverpool 03/09/22

Napoli 4-1 Liverpool 07/09/22

Arsenal 3-2 Liverpool 09/10/22

Rangers 1-7 Liverpool 12/10/22

Nottingham Forest 1-0 Liverpool 22/10/22

Ajax news

Ajax will be without Mohamed Ihattaren, Devyne Rensch and Ahmetcan Kaplan due to injuries, while midfielder Kenneth Taylor is doubtful due to a muscle strain.

Despite scoring a brace in their 4-1 victory RKC Waalwijk at the weekend, Brian Brobbey is likely to make way for Mohamed Kudus in attack.

Liverpool news

Liverpool will make the trip without Diogo Jota, Luis Diaz and Joel Matip due to injuries, but they could welcome back Ibrahima Konate, Darwin Nunez and Thiago Alcantara.

Naby Keita and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain have both resumed training after long-term muscle injuries, but neither were included in the Champions League squad.

Prediction and Odds

We are expecting a very competitive match on Wednesday, with both sides requiring a positive result to boost their chances of qualifying for the knockout rounds.

With a draw being of little use to Ajax, they will almost certainly go all out for a win, potentially letting Liverpool gain advantage.

Odds: 1 3.01 X 2.05 2 2.23

Probable outcomes

Ajax 0-1 Liverpool

Ajax 0-2 Liverpool

Ajax 1-2 Liverpool

Ajax 1-3 Liverpool

Ajax 2-3 Liverpool