NASCAR Odds and Betting: South Point 400

Christopher Bell needed to win the Bank of America ROVAL 400 on Sunday to advance to the Round of 8 and win he did. He benefited from a pit stop on Lap 105 while under caution, using his fresh tires to blow by Ken Harvick after the restart on Lap 111. That got him into the Round of 8, knocking out the defending Cup Series champion, Kyle Larson. Larson had to pit ln Lap 98 after colliding with the wall and breaking a toe link. He finished in 35th, five laps back, and was eliminated from the postseason by two points. Chase Briscoe spun on Lap 107 but recovered to come in ninth, taking the last spot in the Round of 8. This Sunday, NASCAR heads to Vegas for the South Point 400. The race is set for 2:30 pm Eastern time, with the telecast set for NBC. We have the sports betting odds for the 36 drivers, as well as wager card suggestions.

 

NASCAR News: Cup Series South Point 400 Preview

 

 

William Byron has been the best driver at the last three races on intermediate tracks, with an average Dietrich Data score of 0.96 out of a possible 1.00. He earned that perfect score at Texas and posted numbers of 0.92 at Kansas and 0.97 at Darlington. He didn’t win any of those three, though – and he didn’t even crack the top five. That’s unusual, even in a season like this one, when it seems like long shots are crashing the gate every other week. Because of these unusually low finishes, though, he offers more value. If you look at the way he’s driven all of the laps this season, he ought to be the favorite to win. However, the hijinks on the last lap of each event have led to some odds that offer a lot of value. In the Round of 8, he doesn’t need to worry about technique, strategy or points. With a win, he will make the Championship 4.

Joey Logano is also driving more effectively than his finishes suggest. According to the analytics, he should win in the very near future, despite the fact that he seems to be driving under the radar at this point. Team Penske has a way of building speedy cars that work for the short run. There are times when this approach might seem misguided, but the way the Cup Series is going right now, speed over the short run is a real asset. Next Gen cars are unreliable and can go down at any moment. This means that cautions are more likely, as are finishes after a short run. NASCAR likes to get out the caution flag because of the suspense it generates, but if you add this trend to unusually reckless drivers, you have problems as far as safety is concerned, but you also have the sort of uncertainty that a fast driver like Logano can leverage into a win.

Kyle Busch has an advantage driving a Toyota, because they have been the most reliable Next Gen vehicles. Before the race on the road course and the plate track, JGR Toyotas were having problems all over the place. However, before that, these cars were cracking the top five week in and week out. Busch hasn’t become a slow driver; instead, he has been a victim of car problems. If Vegas can feature lengthy runs, little manipulation, an absence of drama and a field that doesn’t keep breaking down, then the best driver and car have room to win.

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