NFL Betting Odds & Predictions in Week 10 → Texans – Giants

The New York Giants have had two weeks to think about their second loss of the season, which came in Week 8 at Seattle. The Seahawks controlled the action on both sides of the ball in an emphatic 27-13 win. The Seahawks were one of the first teams to put the clamps on Giants tailback Saquon Barkley, holding him to just 58 yards on the ground. They come out of their bye week to welcome the Houston Texans to town. The Texans have also had some time to rest, as they played last Thursday, taking a 29-17 beating from the Philadelphia Eagles. Tailback Dameon Pierce had a solid night for Houston, running for 139 yards, but Eagles quarterback threw for 243 yards, with 100 of those yards going to tight end Dallas Goedert as Philadelphia played with a grinding rhythm on both sides of the ball. The Giants are five-point favorites at home against one of the league’s most talent-challenged teams at home, so take a look at our NFL betting preview as you consider your action for the weekend.

 

NFL Preview: Houston Texans at N.Y. Giants
(Sunday, November 13)

 

When: Sunday, November 13, 2022, 1:00 pm ET
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
TV: CBS
Radio: KILT 610 AM Houston / WFAN 660 AM New York City
Live Stream: Sling TV
NFL Odds: New York -5 / O/U 41 // New York -230 / Houston +195

 

Why should you bet on the Texans?

Houston has dropped three of their last four games away from home. Quarterback Davis Mills has a decent pass completion rate (62.8%) but has thrown eight picks so far this season. Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins have combined for 659 receiving yards but only have one touchdown between them. The ground game has emerged as a strength of the offense, as Dameon Pierce has gained 678 yards and found the end zone three times.

The defense has been above average, permitting 22.9 points per game, and Jerry Hughes has been a force in the pass rush, tallying seven sacks. Jonathan Owens is the team’s top tackler with 68. Interestingly, the underdog has covered in four of the last five meetings between these two teams, but since they only play every four years, that’s not that helpful a number. If you like the Texans, you likely see the Giants taking them too lightly, but that has not been the Giants’ trend under new head coach Brian Daboll.

 

Why should you put your money on the Giants?

It seems like the sports betting establishment is sleeping on a Giants team that has only lost to Dallas and Seattle this year. Dallas is 6-2, and Seattle is 6-3 and leads the NFC West, so neither of those losses is a shabby one. At home, the Giants have won three of their last four, and quarterback Daniel Jones has been much better this season in managing ball security, with just two picks on the year. Darius Slayton and Richie James have combined for just 423 yards so far on the season, as Jones prefers to check down – Barkley has 28 catches out of the backfield.

On the ground, the Giants are gaining 161.5 yards per game. Saquon Barkley has run for 779 yards through eight games, scoring five times. The Giants’ defense has limited the opposition to 19.6 points per game, behind 58 tackles from Julian Love and four sacks from Dexter Lawrence. In their last five games, the Giants have covered four times, and I see them working out some of the frustrations that the Seahawks game left them with.

 

Final Score and Prediction

I like what Dameon Pierce is doing in the Houston running game, but the Giants have the defense to contain him and load the box, as Davis Mills is not going to beat the Giants in the passing game. I see the Giants controlling the rhythm and winning, 27-16.

 

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